July 2008 Archives

We've all heard of economic stimulus, but what does it look like???

< 20080704 UST - 2008 Economic Stimulus Payment.jpeg>

 For all of us that have formed companies (inc. SPCs) in the Cayman Is.,

especially using the services of Maples & Calder, at Ugland House, Grand Cayman...

20080725 WSJ - US Looks into offshore accounts.pdf 

Ratings - Primer

| 0 Comments

Post based on an email, "Ratings - Ain't as simple as it looks..."

I continue to amaze myself with how very little I know. Here is a number of explanations from Moody's about their ratings advice, the methodology, and history.

200010xx Moodys - Meaning of Moodys NonLife Insurance Ratings - Rating Methodology.pdf

200201xx Moodys - The Bond Rating Process In A Changing Environment.pdf

200202xx Moodys - The Bond Rating Process_Progress Report.pdf

200606xx Moodys - Rating Symbols and Definitions.pdf

Moody's Credit Ratings
Long Term Obligation Ratings
View All Rating Definitions
Introduction
Medium-Term Note Ratings
Short-Term Ratings
Issuer Ratings
Structured Finance Issuer Ratings
Structured Finance Long-Term Ratings
Credit Default Swaps Ratings
US Municipal and Tax-Exempt Ratings
Counterparty Ratings - Derivatives Product Companies
Counterparty Instrument Ratings - Special Purpose Vehicles
US Municipal Short-Term Debt and Demand Obligation Ratings
Speculative Grade Liquidity Ratings
Bank Deposit Ratings
US Bank Other Senior Obligation Ratings
Bank Financial Strength Ratings
Insurance Financial Strength Ratings
Money Market and Bond Fund Ratings
Country Ceilings for Foreign Currency Obligations
Country Ceilings for Foreign Currency Bank Deposits
Country Ceilings for Local Currency Obligations
Local Currency Deposit Ceiling
LGD (Loss Given Default) Assessments
Corporate Family Ratings
Probability of Default (PD) Ratings
National Scale Ratings

Moody's Non-Credit Ratings
View All Rating Definitions
Equity Fund Ratings
Market Risk Ratings
Servicer Quality Ratings
Investment Manager Quality Ratings
Hedge Fund Operations Quality Ratings
Real Estate Portfolio Cash Flow Volatility Ratings
Common Representative Quality Ratings
Trustee Quality Ratings
Lloyds Syndicate Performance and Volatility Ratings

Other Ratings, Policies and Procedures
View All Rating Definitions
Insured Ratings
Enhanced Ratings
Underlying Ratings
Provisional Ratings
Withdrawn
Not Rated
Credit Estimates
Expected Ratings Indicator
Internal Ratings
Not Available
Terminated Without Rating
Rating Outlooks
Watchlist
Confirmation of a Rating
Affirmation of a Rating
Refundeds
Conditional Rating (*)

Rating Methodology
Understanding Moody's Corporate Bond Ratings And Rating Process
The Bond Rating Process: A Progress Report
The Bond Rating Process In A Changing Environment
The Evolving Meaning of Moody's Bond Ratings

 

Big changes are coming to Credit Default Swaps....

  20080722 FT - Deadline is looming for derivatives clean-up.pdf

20080327 NYFED - Credit Derivatives Market - an080327.pdf

20051102 Wharton - The Ballooning Credit Derivatives Market_ Easing Risk or Making It Worse - 1303.pdf

The NY Fed's suggestions at a meeting earlier this year seems positive, suggestions included...

1) Central CDS clearing house(s) that may have the potential to significantly reduce counter-party risk,

2) potentially doing away with the need to tie up a Master Agreement with every counterparty....

 

Except that the change seems to be coming too fast, and is quite disorganized......

NY Fed is looking at the end of the year as a time frame...

The change may happen even before Financial Institutions have any kind of people or technical infra to handle the new flows... (no technology means all manual!)

There are several major forces, both established exchanges moving into CDS', CME (buying CMA), ICE, Liffe, and Market participant funded Markit (&DTCC), along with Creditex, Trioptima, and a Trojan horse, GS/JpM/Db pushing on with Clearing Corp...

 

It's gonna be messy! --- Hell, it's already messy!

 

Note:

It's interesting to see that it's been known for quite a while know,

that the Credit Derivatives Market has been in such a precarious state...

There is articles years back, and meetings upon meetings at the NY Fed

Talking about cleaning up the credit derivatives market...

Unfortunately it didn't become a reality before a melt-down...

 

The more I read about the credit derivatives market, the more I see that there has been almost no referee on the playing field...

I think one of the major problems with banking supervision in the US is the outdated way that supervisories look at only one class of products---or one type of industry.

It's utterly myopic.

 

Cheers J

Scott

Tag Cloud