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<entry>
    <title>60 YEARS OF CREDIT CARDS: The industry&apos;s state of affairs</title>
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    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2010:/finance//1.84</id>

    <published>2010-03-18T05:49:55Z</published>
    <updated>2010-03-18T06:06:41Z</updated>

    <summary>Original Link: http://www.imd.ch/research/challenges/upload/TC013_10_PDF-2.pdf Our Copy: TC013_10_PDF-2.pdf Back in February 1950, the first Diners Club credit card was unveiled. The Diners Club card, used mainly for travel and entertainment purposes, became the first credit card for widespread use and eventually changed...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Banking" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
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        <![CDATA[<p>Original Link: <a href="http://www.imd.ch/research/challenges/upload/TC013_10_PDF-2.pdf">http://www.imd.ch/research/challenges/upload/TC013_10_PDF-2.pdf</a></p>
<p>
<span style="DISPLAY: inline" class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file">Our Copy: <a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/TC013_10_PDF-2.pdf">TC013_10_PDF-2.pdf</a></span></p>
<p>Back in February 1950, the first Diners Club credit card was unveiled. The Diners Club card, used mainly for travel and entertainment purposes, became the first credit card for widespread use and eventually changed the way consumers make purchases. Sixty years later, what are the state and the future of the credit card industry?</p>
<p>Despite the 2008 downturn being a credit crisis, not much has been said about credit card companies and their role as capital providers to individuals and households. Banks were the culprits, but also the victims of the largest drop in stock market indices in decades. Yet, the stock price performance of credit card companies which are publicly traded (American&nbsp; Express, Mastercard and Visa) has been impressive. Since April 2008, with the S&amp;P 500 index losing almost 33% on a cumulative basis, all three companies have out-performed the market with respective total returns of -2%, +29%, and -14% respectively (see the graph). The case of Visa is exceptional, as it went public in March 2008, so part of its stellar performance can certainly be attributed to its market debut.</p>
<p>The market performance of credit card companies is not surprising. While the reduction of interest rates resulting from the recession has allowed financial institutions to lower their borrowing costs and therefore to emerge almost harmless from the crisis, individual consumers and households seem to have not enjoyed such a favorable environment. Indeed, Visa's Net Operating Income in fiscal year 2009 was $2.0 billion, up 13% from the previous year. Competitors have not fared so great, but the outside perception is that the easy credit that financial institutions enjoy has not been transferred to households. Not to be forgotten is that credit card companies are typically owned / controlled by large banks. For instance, JP Morgan Chase is the largest shareholder at VISA, and Diners International is a fully owned subsidiary of Citibank.</p>
<p><br />How do credit card companies operate? Any credit card transaction involves -- in addition to the cardholder and the credit card company -- a merchant (let us say a retail store), the cardholder's bank (also known as the issuer in the industry), and the merchant's bank (the acquirer). A credit card company is only a network of processing services, by which issuersand acquirers transfer payment from the cardholder to the merchant. In the process, merchants pay fees for the payment processing, and cardholders pay interest on their credit card balances.</p>
<p><br />This is a very profitable business model, but it would be a mistake to assume that credit card companies issue credit cards. Nor do they determine the rates they charge to customers, or the fees that merchants pay to acquirers. Visa, Mastercard and AMEX make money from fees that issuers and acquirers pay. Such a profit generating system translates into an atypical balance sheet structure. Mastercard for instance is a $6.4 billion company (at the end of 2008), of which $4.3 billion are cash and other liquid assets, $700 million are intangibles, and $500 million deferred income taxes. On the right hand side, the company has virtually no debt, and it is financed mostly by current liabilities, and $2.0 billion in equity. Visa is even impressive, with $20 billion in intangibles out of a total size of $32 billion, of which $8 billion are liquid assets.</p>
<p><br />Who would not want to invest in companies like these? They are swimming in cash, are extremely profitable and can sail through a financial crisis by transferring their interest rate risk to customers, issuers and acquirers. Since its IPO in 2005, the cumulative return on Mastercard stock has been more than 500% (even taking into account the 2008 financial crisis!), which is equivalent to a 38% annual return.</p>
<p><br />Well, unfortunately if there is something that credit card companies do not need, it is investors. They are rich, do not need to finance heavy capital investments, and their largest owners are banks, which are indeed happy capturing most of their profit. It turns out however that Mastercard did go public, as did Visa in 2008. Their reasons were however non financial. Mastercard had a severe problem of image: in 2004 Forrester had published a survey where hundreds of customers were asked to "indicate your level of trust in ads for the following type<br />of products." About 69% of respondents said that they completely trusted ads by retail<br />companies, for instance. However, only 21% said the same for credit card companies, which<br />ranked the worst in a list that included movies, consumer electronics and autos. Mastercard<br />solved its problems by going public, earning a great reputation through its aftermarket<br />performance and... by putting most of the money raised in the IPO in a foundation.</p>
<p><br />Visa followed suit, essentially after witnessing the amazing performance of the Mastercard stock. But also for its owners to cash out (remember we did have to endure 2008) about $19 billion, Visa had to create an escrow account that would cover litigation (some $3 billion) started against the company by Discover and Amex, among others.</p>
<p><br />So despite the stated intention of these two companies to use IPO proceeds to create a foundation (Mastercard) or pay for lawyers (Visa), their public offerings were among the most successful of recent years (Visa's is indeed the largest IPO in the US to date). The market,&nbsp; that is forward looking, cannot be easily fooled.</p>
<p><br />What would happen though if, as some commentators say, the next financial crisis is a<br />personal credit crisis? First of all, such a crisis seems now further away than ever. With low interest rates and social pressure, a household credit crisis would be the last event that any government could now afford. Additionally, I hope this article clarifies that it would not be the credit card companies that would suffer the most -- they are cash shielded, do not get directly impacted by the default of the final customer and are owned by banks, which are by far healthier than two years ago.</p>
<p><br />Following the launch of the first credit card 60 years ago, there is little reason to doubt that it<br />will continue to thrive and be a part of our every day lives for the decades ahead.</p>
<p><br />Arturo Bris is Professor of Finance at IMD. He will direct the "News Ideas in Corporate<br />Finance: Addressing Financing Gaps" stream during Orchestrating Winning Performance<br />(June 20 - 25, 2010).</p>
<p><br />He also directs the Advanced Strategic Management program and teaches on the Program for<br />Executive Development as well as the Strategic Finance and Building on Talent programs.&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]>
        
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<entry>
    <title>Bloomberg: Biggest Money in Currencies Is Made Selling Options (Update1)</title>
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    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.83</id>

    <published>2009-04-20T04:48:50Z</published>
    <updated>2009-04-20T04:51:49Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[(Thanks for the article, Harry) Biggest Money in Currencies Is Made Selling Options (Update1)2009-04-20 02:23:26.609 GMT&nbsp; &nbsp; (Updates prices in 14th and 24th paragraphs.)By Ye Xie and Liz Capo McCormick&nbsp; &nbsp; April 20 (Bloomberg) -- This year's most profitableforeign-exchange trade...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
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        <category term="FX Strategy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Trading" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Volatility" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
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        <![CDATA[<p><font face="Courier New" size="2">(Thanks for the article, Harry)</font></p>
<p><font face="Courier New" size="2">Biggest Money in Currencies Is Made Selling Options (Update1)<br />2009-04-20 02:23:26.609 GMT<br /><br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; (Updates prices in 14th and 24th paragraphs.)<br /><br />By Ye Xie and Liz Capo McCormick<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; April 20 (Bloomberg) -- This year's most profitable<br />foreign-exchange trade is signaling increased optimism that the<br />first global recession since World War II is easing.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Bets that currency swings will continue falling from record<br />highs produced profits in each of the past five months for a 32<br />percent gain, the best performance for that length of time,<br />according to ABN Amro indexes. The strategy was the only one of<br />four currency tactics simulated by ABN that made money in the<br />first quarter.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Currency fluctuations ebbed as global economies recovered<br />from the turmoil that followed Russia's 1998 default and the<br />Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist strikes. Now, the JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.<br />benchmark index of investor expectations for currency swings,<br />known as implied volatility, has fallen to 14.4 percent from its<br />27 percent October record. The G7 Volatility Index's decline<br />since mid-January is the steepest three-month drop since its<br />1992 inception.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; "Big currency moves are behind us," said Maxime Tessier,<br />chief of foreign exchange at Montreal-based Caisse de Depot et<br />Placement du Quebec, Canada's biggest pension fund manager, with<br />C$120 billion ($98.6 billion) in assets. "The volatility spike<br />has to unwind itself over time. Selling volatility has been the<br />winning trade so far this year and will continue to work well."<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Past Experience<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; That may be good news for the global economy. Within a week<br />of the 9/11 attacks, the JPMorgan index jumped to 13 percent<br />from 11 percent. By April 2002, that gauge of expectations for<br />U.S. dollar swings over the coming three months versus the yen,<br />euro, pound, Swiss franc, Australian dollar and Canadian dollar<br />had fallen to 8 percent as the U.S. recovered from a recession.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; After Russia defaulted on $40 billion of debt in August<br />1998 during the Asian financial crisis, the index surged to<br />almost 19 percent in October, from 10 percent in May. It had<br />fallen by half when the global economy emerged from the meltdown<br />the next summer.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Today, investors are becoming more convinced that<br />unprecedented sums pledged by the world's major economies,<br />including $12.8 trillion from the U.S., will stem the worst<br />financial crisis since the Great Depression. The U.S. economy<br />will grow 0.3 percent in the third quarter, from a year earlier,<br />according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 59<br />analysts. It probably contracted 5 percent in the first quarter<br />and will shrink 2 percent in the second, the survey shows.<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;'Good Description'<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; "FX vol tends to be correlated with the business cycle,<br />and normally peaks after troughs in growth," Goldman Sachs<br />Group Inc. strategists led by London-based Thomas Stolper wrote<br />to clients on April 8. "That appears to be a good description<br />of the current situation."<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; JPMorgan's index remains elevated relative to historic<br />levels, signaling continued demand for protection. The index,<br />which usually moves in tandem with actual fluctuations, remains<br />above 14 percent, a level it has breached only seven times at<br />closing since its mid-1992 creation.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Expectations for swings in the U.S. dollar versus the<br />Canadian dollar over the next two years are about 15 percent,<br />compared with 14 percent for the next two months, suggesting<br />investors see currency volatility remaining elevated, Bloomberg<br />data show.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; "Although volatility levels have peaked, they are still<br />pricing in significant market uncertainty in the years ahead,"<br />said Geoffrey Yu, a London-based foreign-exchange strategist at<br />UBS AG, the world's second-biggest currency trader. "So long as<br />the banking system is still under stress, people will want<br />protection. We are far from giving banks a clean bill of health,<br />which means there will be more nasty shocks along the way."<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;$4 Trillion in Losses<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Since the start of 2007, the world's largest financial<br />companies have reported loan-related writedowns and losses of<br />$1.3 trillion, about the size of Russia's economy. Global losses<br />may total $4 trillion, the International Monetary Fund will<br />announce on April 20, according to an April 8 report in the<br />Financial Times.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; RBS Securities Inc. takes a different view. In an April 15<br />note to clients, it said exchange rates for the euro, yen and<br />the dollar suggest there is little room for extreme swings<br />because they are closer to their 10-year averages than any time<br />since 1997.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Volatility expectations on three-month euro-dollar options<br />fell to 14.09 percent today from 25.39 percent in December, the<br />highest level since Bloomberg started compiling that data in<br />1998. Tessier predicted it will decline to about 11 percent.<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;'Doing the Opposite'<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; "People are still willing to pay a premium for insurance<br />against disaster, which is keeping implied volatility from<br />falling too much," said London-based Henrik Pedersen, chief<br />investment officer at Pareto Investment Management Ltd. "That<br />is probably why there is value in doing the opposite" by<br />selling options, said Pedersen, whose firm oversees more than<br />$46 billion. Traders use implied volatility to set options<br />prices.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Goldman Sachs' April 8 analysis concluded that actual<br />volatility on one-year euro-dollar options, which stood at 15.7<br />percent on April 14, is higher than the bank's economic model<br />suggests it should be by 4.7 points. The deviation was the most<br />since the mid-1970s, Goldman Sachs said.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Lower volatility typically follows the easing of monetary<br />policy by 18 to 24 months, said Alan Ruskin, head of<br />international currency strategy in North America at RBS in<br />Greenwich, Connecticut, in an April 15 research note. The<br />Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to a range of zero to<br />0.25 percent from 5.25 percent 19 months ago, in September 2007,<br />in an attempt to stave off the recession as the housing market<br />collapsed.<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;'Reassuring Investors'<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; "I would expect volatility to continue to drop," said<br />Andrew Milligan, the global strategy chief at Standard Life<br />Investments, which oversees $181 billion in Edinburgh. "We are<br />still expecting to see a lot of policy statements reassuring<br />investors that the governments are in charge, and we will see an<br />upturn in economic activities."<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; A so-called short volatility strategy, where investors sell<br />options that protect buyers against currency swings, gained 32<br />percent from Nov. 1 through March 31, ABN's Volatility Capture<br />Style Index shows. That's its best five-month performance since<br />the index's 1974 start and among the top dozen gains for that<br />length of time in any of ABN's four currency-trade gauges. The<br />volatility strategy had lost a record 29 percent in October. Its<br />12.8 percent drop last year followed smaller drops from 2005 to<br />2007 -- its first multiyear losing streak.<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Straddles, Strangles<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Investors typically short volatility by simultaneously<br />selling the right to buy and to sell a currency at set strike<br />prices, known as call and put options. When volatility<br />expectations fall, so does the price of that protection, and the<br />seller makes money. Such strategies can use identical strike<br />prices, known as straddles, or different ones, strangles, with<br />the former being riskier.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; An investor who on Jan. 2 sold $10 million worth of three-<br />month euro-dollar option strangles with a call price of $1.5135<br />and a put price of $1.2921 would have reaped a $338,000 profit<br />at the end of the first quarter as implied volatility fell to<br />about 18 percent from about 23 percent, Bloomberg data show.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Momtchil Pojarliev, currency chief at Hermes Pension<br />Management Ltd. in London, said he has been selling volatility<br />since October, mainly with short strangles, which he considers<br />"definitely the winning bet." One of his positions is on the<br />Canadian dollar versus the U.S. currency. Pajarliev, whose<br />company oversees about $39 billion, predicted one-year implied<br />volatility on the pair will drop 3 points to about 12 percent.<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Carry Trade<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Smaller fluctuations benefit another common currency<br />strategy, the carry trade, where funds borrowed from countries<br />with lower interest costs are invested in those with higher<br />rates, allowing investors to pocket the difference. Low<br />volatility decreases the chance that sudden moves will wipe out<br />carry trade profits.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; An increase in carry trades would boost currencies from<br />higher-interest rate nations, such as the Australian dollar, and<br />hurt legal tender from economies with lower rates, including the<br />yen. Over the past two months, the dollar in Australia, where<br />the central bank benchmark rate is 3 percent, has gained 18<br />percent to 70.86 yen in Japan, where the corresponding rate is<br />0.1 percent.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; The Aussie lost 35 percent against the yen last year, when<br />three-month volatility expectations on the pair more than<br />tripled to a record 54 percent between January and October. It<br />is now 27 percent.<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;In Vogue<br /><br />&nbsp; &nbsp; Selling option volatility was in vogue after the 2001<br />recession ended until mid-2007. During that period, increased<br />transparency by central banks and stable interest rates damped<br />currency swings. The ABN volatility-strategy index's best year<br />was 2004, when it gained 26 percent.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; JPMorgan's volatility index for emerging markets rose to a<br />record 35.8 percent in October, from about 10 percent in August,<br />as currencies from Brazil's real to Iceland's krona weakened.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; The volatility and currency depreciation caused Taesan LCD<br />Co., which makes computer screen lights in Pyeongtaek, South<br />Korea, to collapse in September as its currency derivative bets<br />went awry. Gruma SAB, Mexico's largest maker of corn flour for<br />tortillas, reported a 11.1 billion peso ($844 million) loss in<br />the fourth-quarter, in part from bad currency wagers.<br />&nbsp; &nbsp; "People got burned badly last year," said Pojarliev of<br />Hermes Pension Management. Now, "fear is disappearing. We are<br />moving towards a normal environment," he said. "We could see<br />more normal levels in volatility."<br /><br />For Related News and Information:<br />Options and Volatility XOPT &lt;GO&gt;<br />FX Implied Volatility Matrix WVOL &lt;GO&gt;<br />Volatility Comparison: VOLC &lt;GO&gt;<br />Currency trade idea tools: FXTI &lt;GO&gt;<br />Positions and Sentiment: IPSP &lt;GO&gt;<br />Currency forecasts: FXFC &lt;GO&gt;<br />Developed-market monitors: DMMV &lt;GO&gt;<br />Emerging-market monitors: EMMV &lt;GO&gt;<br /><br />--Editors: Phil Kuntz, Nicholas Reynolds<br /><br />To contact the reporters on this story:<br />Ye Xie in New York at +1-212-617-2768 or<br />yxie6@bloomberg.net;<br />Liz Capo McCormick in New York at +1-212-617-7416 or<br />Emccormick7@bloomberg.net.<br /><br />To contact the editor responsible for this story:<br />Dave Liedtka at +1-212-617-8988 or<br />dliedtka@bloomberg.net.</font><br /></p>]]>
        
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<entry>
    <title>JAPAN INC: Right place, right time: Sale of FXOnline</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/03/japan-inc-right-place-right-time-sale-of-fxonline.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.82</id>

    <published>2009-03-23T09:12:33Z</published>
    <updated>2009-03-23T09:26:49Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[ (English) DOC090323174049.pdf&nbsp; &nbsp; (Japanese, by NSJ Fund Newspaper) DOC090323174059.pdf &nbsp; &nbsp;...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
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        <![CDATA[<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">(English) <a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/DOC090323174049.pdf">DOC090323174049.pdf</a></span>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>(Japanese, by NSJ Fund Newspaper) 
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/DOC090323174059.pdf">DOC090323174059.pdf</a></span></p>
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<entry>
    <title>FT: Currency volatility prompts radical rethink</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/03/ft-currency-volatility-prompts-radical-rethink.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.81</id>

    <published>2009-03-23T09:01:23Z</published>
    <updated>2009-03-23T09:08:37Z</updated>

    <summary> DOC090323172830.pdf Article alludes to four areas of FX strategy, carry, fundamental discretionary, event driven, and mean reversion. Talks about a multi-strategy approach to switch to be able to switch to the strategy that is performing well....</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="FX" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
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    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/DOC090323172830.pdf">DOC090323172830.pdf</a></span></p>
<p>Article alludes to four areas of FX strategy, carry, fundamental discretionary, event driven, and mean reversion.</p>
<p>Talks about a multi-strategy approach to switch to be able to switch to the strategy that is performing well.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
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<entry>
    <title>Dow Jones: RBS To Split In Two As Northern Rock Boosts Lending</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/02/dow-jones-rbs-to-split-in-two-as-northern-rock-boosts-lending.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.79</id>

    <published>2009-02-24T04:17:12Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-24T05:04:44Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[http://news.morningstar.com/newsnet/viewnews.aspx?article=/dj/200902230817dowjonesdjonline000237_univ.xml 2-23-09&nbsp;8:17&nbsp;AM&nbsp;EST LONDON (Dow Jones) -- Royal Bank of Scotland Group plans to split in two, slash costs by more than 1 billion pounds ($1.46 billion) and potentially cut up to 20,000 jobs, as nationalized U.K. lender Northern Rock prepares...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="ABN AMRO" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
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        <![CDATA[<p><span class="ref"><a href="http://news.morningstar.com/newsnet/viewnews.aspx?article=/dj/200902230817dowjonesdjonline000237_univ.xml">http://news.morningstar.com/newsnet/viewnews.aspx?article=/dj/200902230817dowjonesdjonline000237_univ.xml</a></span></p>
<p><span class="ref">2-23-09&nbsp;8:17&nbsp;AM&nbsp;EST</span><span class="Abody"></p>
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<p><location>LONDON</location> (Dow Jones) -- Royal Bank of Scotland Group plans to split in two, slash costs by more than 1 billion pounds (<money>$1.46 billion</money>) and potentially cut up to 20,000 jobs, as nationalized U.K. lender Northern Rock prepares to reverse course and revive its mortgage lending. </p></td></tr></tbody></table></span>RBS (RBS) will announce some of its plans on Thursday as it unveils details of its 2008 loss, which the bank has previously said could be as much as 28 billion pounds -- the biggest in U.K. corporate history. 
<p></p>
<p>CEO <person>Stephen Hester</person> will try and ring-fence about 300 billion pounds of unwanted and risky assets -- around a fifth of the balance sheet -- in a new subsidiary, according to a person familiar with the situation. </p>
<p>The division would act as a type of "bad bank" that would allow investors to more easily assign a value to the core operations. The segregated assets could then be either sold off or run down by RBS over the next three to five years. </p>
<p>Among the businesses that could be wound down are the bank's Australian units and its aircraft-leasing business, the person familiar with the situation said. </p>
<p>The bank may exit from as many as half of the 60 countries in which it currently operates, Dow Jones Newswires reported. Cash could also be raised from the sale of some Asian operations acquired in the takeover of ABN Amro. </p>
<p>Former chairman <person>Tom McKillop</person> told a U.K. parliamentary committee earlier this month that the acquisition of ABN Amro had been "a bad mistake" and that the bulk of what it had paid for the business will be written off as goodwill. </p>
<p>The Financial Times reported over the weekend that the restructuring plans could result in job losses for up to 20,000. The person familiar with the matter said the bank, which employs nearly 180,000 people worldwide, is unlikely to reveal an exact number of job cuts on Thursday. </p>
<p>Taken together, the measures should reduce costs by more than 1 billion pounds, which will contribute to the bank's plans to repay about 20 billion pounds of capital injections from the U.K. government, which now owns close to 70% of RBS. </p>
<p>Newly appointed as CEO, Hester is expected to emphasize a renewed focus on the NatWest U.K. retail unit, its insurance business, and some businesses within its U.S. Citizens Bank unit. </p>
<p>Macquarie Research analyst <person>Robert Sage</person> said that, provided the plans can be achieved without a full government takeover, "it seems increasingly plausible that the RBS investment case may at last fine some more robust underpinning." </p>
<p>Trading in RBS showed investors in a buying mood, bidding the shares about 14% in early <location>London</location> action. The wider European banking sector also climbed to start the week amid reports that the U.S. government is in talks over expanding its equity stake in <a href="http://quote.morningstar.com/switch.html?ticker=NYSE:C">Citigroup Inc.</a> (C). </p>
<p>Northern Rock u-turn </p>
<p>Also in focus Monday were plans by the U.K. government to revive mortgage lending at nationalized bank Northern Rock. </p>
<p>The U.K. had previously been gradually running down Northern Rock's operations, but now officials want the mortgage bank to make as much as 14 billion pounds in additional loans over the next two years, in a bid to help plug a hole in the U.K. lending market. </p>
<p>Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling told BBC Radio earlier Monday that the plan for Northern Rock is one of a series of measures the government will introduce to help reinvigorate lending. </p>
<p>Another eagerly awaited part of the plan is an insurance program for risky assets. </p>
<p>RBS reportedly wants to put at least 200 billion pounds of assets into the government plan, which would effectively limit banks' losses beyond a pre-agreed level in exchange for an annual percentage payment. </p>
<p>However, the value of the scheme to shareholders will depend on the detail, including how much of any further losses the bank would have to shoulder. </p><pre>  (END) Dow Jones Newswires
  <chron>02-23-09</chron><chron>0817ET</chron>
  Copyright (c) 2009 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.
</pre>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Stephen Ross: A Neoclassical Look at Behavioral Finance</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/02/stephen-ross-a-neoclassical-look-at-behavioral-finance.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.78</id>

    <published>2009-02-16T15:07:50Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-16T15:28:50Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[This is a slide presentation on the above, located on Columbia University's Department of Industrial Engineering &amp; Operations Research website. Original: http://www.ieor.columbia.edu/pdf-files/Ross_S.pdf Local PDF: Ross_S.pdf Topic: Siamese Twins and The Macroinvestment Function &nbsp; Interesting Artifact: Stephen Ross' Financial Hurricane Scale...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<p>This is a slide presentation on the above, located on Columbia University's Department of Industrial Engineering &amp; Operations Research website.</p>
<p>Original: <a href="http://www.ieor.columbia.edu/pdf-files/Ross_S.pdf">http://www.ieor.columbia.edu/pdf-files/Ross_S.pdf</a></p>
<p>
<p>
<p>Local PDF: 
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/Ross_S.pdf">Ross_S.pdf</a></span></p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">Topic: Siamese Twins and The Macroinvestment Function</span></p></p></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Interesting Artifact:</p>
<p align="center">Stephen Ross' Financial Hurricane Scale (Love this scale)</p>
<p align="center"><img class="mt-image-none" height="352" alt="hurricanescale.jpg" src="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/hurricanescale.jpg" width="401" /></p>
<p align="left">&nbsp;</p>
<p align="left">&nbsp;</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>FSB St. Louis: Can Markov Switching Models Predict Excess Foreign Exchange Returns?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/02/fsb-st-louis-can-markov-switching-models-predict-excess-foreign-exchange-returns.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.77</id>

    <published>2009-02-11T14:55:44Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-16T15:06:39Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA["Can Markov Switching Models Predict Excess Foreign Exchange Returns?" Original: http://research.stlouisfed.org/wp/2001/2001-021.pdf PDF: 2001-021.pdf&nbsp; Abstract: This paper merges the literature on technical trading rules with the literature on Markov switching to develop economically useful trading rules. The Markov models' out-of-sample, excess...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="FX" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="FX Strategy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Modeling" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Trading" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<div><font size="2"><strong><span class="862010115-10022009">"Can Markov Switching Models Predict Excess Foreign Exchange Returns?"</span><span class="862010115-10022009"></span></strong></font></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2">Original: <a title="http://research.stlouisfed.org/wp/2001/2001-021.pdf" href="http://research.stlouisfed.org/wp/2001/2001-021.pdf">http://research.stlouisfed.org/wp/2001/2001-021.pdf</a></font></span></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2">PDF: </font></span></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2"></font></span>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2001-021.pdf">2001-021.pdf</a></span>&nbsp;</div>
<div><font size="2">Abstract: This paper merges the literature on technical trading rules with the literature on Markov switching to develop economically useful trading rules. The Markov models' out-of-sample, excess returns modestly exceed those of standard technical rules and are profitable over the most recent subsample. A portfolio of Markov and standard technical rules outperforms either set individually, on a risk-adjusted basis. The Markov rules' high excess returns contrast with mixed performance on statistical tests of forecast accuracy. There is no clear source for the trends, but permitting the mean to depend on higher moments of the exchange rate distribution modestly increases returns.</font></div>
<div><font size="2"><br />Keywords: technical trading rules, Markov switching, exchange rates, excess returns, predictability</font></div>
<div><font size="2"></font>&nbsp;</div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2">...</font></span></div>
<div><font face="ＭＳ Ｐゴシック" size="2"><strong>6. Conclusions<br /></strong>This paper has used Markov switching models to create ex ante trading rules in the foreign exchange market. Markov models generate statistically and economically significant out-of-sample returns that are 95 basis points larger, on average, than those of conventional technical trading rules, and these returns appear to be fairly stable over time. The Markov rules provide at least two marginal benefits over conventional MA rules. An equally weighted portfolio rule of the Markov and MA rules provides a better risk-return trade-off than either alone. In addition, the Markov rules are strongly superior to the MA rules on the most recent data, in which the MA rules' profitability seems to have disappeared.<br />The Markov switching models deliver strong out-of-sample portfolio returns, although they fail to outpredict a naive, constant-return benchmark by MSE and MAE criteria. While the mean returns have diminished after 1991, tests reject structural breaks in Markov mean returns, which are still positive in every subsample, including the period from 2002 to 2005:6. Thus, Markov rule returns have been more stable than those of the conventional MA rules.<br />The ability of the Markov trading rules to identify trends in exchange rates might be linked to their use of information about higher moments. The fact that in-sample LR tests always preferred linking either the distribution's dispersion (scale of the variance) or kurtosis to the mean return supports this contention. Restricting the mean of the Markov model from using higher moments reduces overall mean annual out-of-sample returns by 1.5 percentage points and Sharpe ratios by 14 basis points. This suggests, but does not prove, that higher moments belong i<span class="862010115-10022009">n </span>the expectations of the Markov trading rule. The technical trading literature has not previously exploited higher moments in constructing rules.<br />The use of econometric methodology, rather than technical rules, to make trading decisions has at least two potential advantages. First, one can generate the entire multi-period distribution of exchange rate returns, enabling the risk-averse investor to better assess the risk-adjusted expected returns. A second potential advantage of an econometric methodology is that the stability of the model structure--rather than the return moments--can be assessed in real time, enabling traders to change their trading rules with the structure of the data-generating process. This paper did not explore those advantages.</font></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2"></font></span>&nbsp;</div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2"><strong>My Excerpts:</strong></font></span></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2">...</font></span></div>
<div><font size="2"></font>&nbsp;</div>
<div><font size="2">Christoffersen and Diebold (2003) demonstrate that serial dependence in higher moments, such as the variance and kurtosis, affects the expected sign of returns in the presence of a non-zero unconditional mean return. This sign dependence creates predictability in the direction of returns. Our model does not directly exploit this effect; instead, it exploits dependence between conditional moments to better estimate the conditional mean.</font></div>
<div><font size="2"></font>&nbsp;</div>
<div><font size="2">For example, a rise in volatility can generate a change in conditional mean return through safe-haven effects. <strong>Higher volatility causes investors to seek safe-haven currencies, like the dollar. Decomposing volatility into both time-varying kurtosis and dispersion might improve our model's ability to detect the type of risk response associated with safe-haven effects.</strong></font></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2"></font></span>&nbsp;</div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2">Scott-&gt; This effect is probably exactly what we are seeing now.&nbsp; Rises in volatility triggering the seeking of safe-haven currencies (ie. USD and JPY).</font></span></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(( Conversely, as volatility starts tapering off, money will start flowing out of safe havens, and dollar and yen will begin to fall...))</font></span></div>
<div><span class="862010115-10022009"><font size="2"></font></span>&nbsp;</div>
<div>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="DISPLAY: inline"><img class="mt-image-none" height="332" alt="fxmarkov1.jpg" src="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/fxmarkov1.jpg" width="582" /></span></div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="DISPLAY: inline"><img class="mt-image-none" height="803" alt="fxmarkov2.jpg" src="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/fxmarkov2.jpg" width="558" /></span></div>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Hedgeworld: Harry Markopolos&apos; 2005 Memo to the SEC </title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/02/hedgeworld-harry-markopolos-2005-memo-to-the-sec.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.76</id>

    <published>2009-02-09T14:49:50Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-16T14:52:38Z</updated>

    <summary>dail15661.pdf...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/dail15661.pdf">dail15661.pdf</a></span>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Volatility: It ain&apos;t rocket science, Einstein.</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/02/volatility-it-aint-rocket-science-einstein.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.68</id>

    <published>2009-02-05T15:15:49Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-05T15:44:19Z</updated>

    <summary>Special FX: the asset class that thrives on volatility &quot;FX divisions are among the most profitable in the banks. Ultimately in 2008, FX was a significant contributor to profits,&quot; says Scott Wacker, managing director of foreign exchange sales at JPMorgan....</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="FX" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="FX Strategy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<h2>Special FX: the asset class that thrives on volatility</h2>
<p>"FX divisions are among the most profitable in the banks. Ultimately in 2008, FX was a significant contributor to profits," says Scott Wacker, managing director of foreign exchange sales at JPMorgan.</p>
<p>"Low volatility means a bear market for the foreign exchange industry and high volatility means a bull market," says Martin Wiedman, head of global forex sales at Credit Suisse.</p>
<p>"But if you still have a pulse, you are going to have the opportunity to make some serious money in FX over the next couple of years."</p>
<p>
<p>
<p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">Full Story: <a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/26b4d60c-f324-11dd-abe6-0000779fd2ac%2Cdw.pdf">26b4d60c-f324-11dd-abe6-0000779fd2ac,dw.pdf</a></span></p>
<p>
<p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><strong>My Comments: </strong></span></p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p>&nbsp; Intraday Volatility---Prices move more during certain parts of the global day.</p>
<p>
<p>In foreign exchange, currencies get traded more or less in the regions where they are used as currencies of account, ie. JPY in Japan, GBP in the UK, etc.&nbsp; USD is essentially the global currency used to measure value, with EUR becoming a closer second for this role. </p>
<p>FX Pairs move more when one of their currency's regions begin their day and, you get a distribution of volatility on pairs.</p>
<p><img class="mt-image-none" height="299" alt="FX-3market2.gif" src="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/FX-3market2.gif" width="500" /></p>
<p></p>
<p>
<p>(Stole this from: <a href="http://i.investopedia.com/inv/articles/site/FX-3market2.gif">http://i.investopedia.com/inv/articles/site/FX-3market2.gif</a>)</p>
<p>Short &amp; Long, 20pip stop / 40pip take. (meant to do 1 lot, but accidentally did 2 lots)</p>
<p>The market went almost straight down, $1080+, $540-, which is P/L $540+.</p>
<p>&nbsp; 
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="DISPLAY: inline">&nbsp;</span>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="DISPLAY: inline"><img class="mt-image-none" height="560" alt="updown.jpg" src="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/updown.jpg" width="439" /></span>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The risk is that the&nbsp;volatility drops off, and the market starts moving&nbsp;sideways again.&nbsp; Worse even,&nbsp;the market moves against you and&nbsp;you pay spread, and lose your ante'd stop loss. </p>
<p>Take a look at the last 3 weeks or so.&nbsp; Pay attention to the area under the Solid Blue (UK) boxes (and where they overlap with Solid Green boxes (US)).&nbsp; This is typically the most volatile time of the day.&nbsp; Since Lehman died, its a rare day that&nbsp;see daily range of&nbsp;less than a 100pips. </p>
<p>
<p><img class="mt-image-none" height="382" alt="3wks.jpg" src="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/3wks.jpg" width="374" /></p>
<p>Depending on what the actual probabilities work out to be with whatever SL/TP I choose and the directionality from whatever point I initiate my trades turns out to be, the probability of working out might be less than&nbsp;50%&nbsp;of the time.&nbsp; With only simple TP/SL, if&nbsp;the trade only works out 45% of the time, that means that&nbsp;the break even on the game is... </p>
<p>[Scenario 1 x Probability 1] + ... + [Scenario n x Probability n] = 0, (Break Even)</p>
<p>[(Win Scenario) x 45%] + [Losing Scenario x 55%] = 0,</p>
<p>[((Profit Took Side)&nbsp;+ (Stopped Out Side) )&nbsp;x 45%]&nbsp;+ [2 x&nbsp;(Stopped Out Side) x 55%] = 0,&nbsp; </p>
<p>[(Take Profit - Spread)&nbsp;+ (Stop Loss&nbsp;- Spread)&nbsp;) x 45%]&nbsp;+ [2 x (Stop Loss&nbsp;- Spread) x 55%) = 0,</p>
<p>[((91pips - 5pips)&nbsp;+ (-20pips&nbsp;- 5pips)) x 45%]&nbsp;+ [2 x (-20pips - 5 pips) x 55%] = 0</p>
<p>At 45% probability of win, 91pips is break-even,</p>
<p>At 50% probability of win, 80pips&nbsp;is break-even,</p>
<p>At 55% probability of win, 71pips is break-even.</p>
<p>Reducing loss, increasing win, and increasing winning probability are keys to any strategy.</p>
<p>When expecting a spurt of volatility, the fact that the trade has not won yet, indicates too little volatility for the strategy. A time-based narrowing of the exit range would probably be helpful at reducing loss. In this case, it would be good to start reducing losses by accepting a small loss on&nbsp;exit, which is&nbsp;better than waiting&nbsp;until the&nbsp;market starts moving against you and takes out the remenants of your trade.</p>
<p>Secondarily, there might be something to be said for a directional bias.&nbsp; A risk-neutral bias, based on close historical prices seems like it might be of some value. However, care needs to be taken to only make the strategy risk neutral,&nbsp;otherwise the strategy starts becoming a directional play, as opposed to a volatility play.</p>
<p>With that said, with a well timed entry where volatility typically picks up,&nbsp;a&nbsp;well devised trailing stop, and a loss reduction strategy, there might be a potential on an above average volatile day of 200-250pips, to return&nbsp;a maximum of&nbsp;2 to 3x the break even distance of 80pips.</p>
<p>Since this strategy runs on volatility, another helpful ingredient might be having the program look back several days and measure the amount of volatility there was, and make it revise it's own strategy parameters to increase win probability.&nbsp; Even perhaps a simple implementation of a volatility model, GARCH, or something along those lines.</p>
<p>This leads me to thinking about a model that attempts to&nbsp;predict intraday volatility, and perhaps calculating win probabilities to size bets, maybe with the Kelly bet-sizing model, or a weakened form (as Kelly is known to be ultra aggresive.)&nbsp; Alas, I shall leave this for another day.</p>
<p></p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>FT: ABN in talks with RBS on buying back arms</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/02/ft-abn-in-talks-with-rbs-on-buying-back-arms.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.75</id>

    <published>2009-02-02T14:47:28Z</published>
    <updated>2009-03-12T00:11:58Z</updated>

    <summary>PDF: 052cf48e-f08f-11dd-972c-0000779fd2ac,dw.pdf...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="ABN AMRO" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="RBS" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[PDF: 
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/052cf48e-f08f-11dd-972c-0000779fd2ac%2Cdw.pdf">052cf48e-f08f-11dd-972c-0000779fd2ac,dw.pdf</a></span>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>FT: Call to nationalise RBS and Lloyds</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/01/ft-call-to-nationalise-rbs-and-lloyds.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.74</id>

    <published>2009-01-21T14:44:43Z</published>
    <updated>2009-03-12T00:13:50Z</updated>

    <summary>Original: http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/363524a8-e729-11dd-aef2-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fworld%2Fuk PDF: 37-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="ABN AMRO" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="RBS" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Original: <a href="http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/363524a8-e729-11dd-aef2-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fworld%2Fuk">http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/363524a8-e729-11dd-aef2-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fworld%2Fuk</a></p>
<p>PDF: 
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/37-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf">37-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf</a></span></p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>FT: ABN might regain RBS businesses</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/01/ft-abn-might-regain-rbs-businesses.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.73</id>

    <published>2009-01-21T14:35:36Z</published>
    <updated>2009-03-12T00:16:00Z</updated>

    <summary> Original: http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/dbb86416-e743-11dd-aef2-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fcompanies%2Fbanks PDF: 36-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="ABN AMRO" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="RBS" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">Original: <a href="http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/dbb86416-e743-11dd-aef2-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fcompanies%2Fbanks">http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/dbb86416-e743-11dd-aef2-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fcompanies%2Fbanks</a></span></p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">PDF: <a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/36-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf">36-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf</a></span></p>
<p></p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Citi Declares Dividend</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/01/citi-declares-dividend.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.72</id>

    <published>2009-01-21T14:07:14Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-21T16:15:07Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[ Original: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/citigroup-declares-quarterly-dividend-penny/story.aspx?guid=%7B0576EB05%2DD578%2D4593%2D88AF%2DB5F58AB80A35%7D&amp;dist=TQP_Mod_mktwN#comments &nbsp;Pdf: citigroup-declares-quarte.pdf&nbsp; I love some of the comments on Citi's "Dividend". &nbsp; "This company is nearly broke and gets billions in guarantees and cash and they pay a dividend?" &nbsp; "A penny a share a quarter X4...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Citi" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<div class="Section1" style="LAYOUT-GRID:  18pt none">
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Original: <a title="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/citigroup-declares-quarterly-dividend-penny/story.aspx?guid=%7B0576EB05%2DD578%2D4593%2D88AF%2DB5F58AB80A35%7D&amp;dist=TQP_Mod_mktwN#comments" href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/citigroup-declares-quarterly-dividend-penny/story.aspx?guid=%7B0576EB05%2DD578%2D4593%2D88AF%2DB5F58AB80A35%7D&amp;dist=TQP_Mod_mktwN#comments">http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/citigroup-declares-quarterly-dividend-penny/story.aspx?guid=%7B0576EB05%2DD578%2D4593%2D88AF%2DB5F58AB80A35%7D&amp;dist=TQP_Mod_mktwN#comments</a></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;Pdf: </o:p></span></font><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline"><a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/citigroup-declares-quarte.pdf">citigroup-declares-quarte.pdf</a></span>&nbsp;</span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">I love some of the comments on Citi</span></font><font face="Courier New"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Courier New'">'</span></font><span lang="EN-US">s </span><font face="Courier New"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Courier New'">"</span></font><span lang="EN-US">Dividend</span><font face="Courier New"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Courier New'">"</span></font><span lang="EN-US">.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="BACKGROUND: white"><font face="Arial" color="black" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">"This company is nearly broke and gets billions in guarantees and cash and they pay a dividend?"<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="BACKGROUND: white; TEXT-ALIGN: left" align="left"><font face="Arial" color="black" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">"A penny a share a quarter X4 = $.04 for the year so at $.40 a share C might be a dividend play before the year is out."<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="BACKGROUND: white"><font face="Century" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt">"</span></font><span lang="EN-US">So they can say in 80 years.... We have paid a dividend for the past 80 years. </span><span lang="EN-US">"<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="BACKGROUND: white"><font face="Century" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="BACKGROUND: white"><font face="Arial" color="black" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">-----Original Message-----<br />From: Citi News Alerts [mailto:CitiNewsAlerts@bridgetrack.com] <br />Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2009 7:32 AM<br />Subject: Citi Declares Dividend</span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C)<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">January 20, 2009 <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Citigroup Declares Dividends<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">NEW YORK</span></font></st1:place></st1:State><span lang="EN-US"> -- The Board of Directors of Citigroup today declared a quarterly dividend on the company's common stock of one cent per share, payable on February 27, 2009 to stockholders of record on February 2, 2009.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">The Board also declared dividends on preferred stock as follows:<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">-- 6.5% Non-Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock, Series T, payable February 17, 2009, to holders of record on February 5, 2009. Holders of depositary receipts, each representing one-thousandth of a full convertible preferred share, will be paid $.8125 for each receipt held.&nbsp;&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">-- 8.125% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series AA, payable February 17, 2009, to holders of record on February 5, 2009. Holders of depositary receipts, each representing one-thousandth of a full preferred share, will be paid $.5078125 for each receipt held.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">-- 8.50% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series F, payable March 16, 2009, to holders of record on March 5, 2009. Holders of depositary receipts, each representing one-thousandth of a full preferred share, will be paid $.53125 for each receipt held.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">To read more, go to http://news.citi.com/e/?e=qpucfA7agep.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">******************************************************************<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">If you wish to unsubscribe from Citi News Alerts or update your News Alert choices, please visit: <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">http://news.citi.com/e/?e=qpucf07agep<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><font face="ＭＳ ゴシック" size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p></div>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Cornicopia of Guides &amp; Models</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/01/cornicopia-of-guides-models.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.71</id>

    <published>2009-01-19T14:00:30Z</published>
    <updated>2009-03-12T00:17:58Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[ http://www.classiccmp.org/transputer/finengineer/ - Stumbled on this collection of fairly classic research papers Credit, Commodities, Rates, Corp Fin, Deposits, All sort of good stuff, Introductory manuals to advanced modeling papers. (I've already downloaded them all. J ) Scott &nbsp; [ABN-AMRO] A...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Modeling" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<div class="Section1" style="LAYOUT-GRID:  18pt none">
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><a title="http://www.classiccmp.org/transputer/finengineer/" href="http://www.classiccmp.org/transputer/finengineer/">http://www.classiccmp.org/transputer/finengineer/</a> - <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Stumbled on this collection of fairly classic research papers<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Credit, Commodities, Rates, Corp Fin, Deposits, All sort of good stuff, <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Introductory manuals to advanced modeling papers.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">(I've already downloaded them all. </span></font><font face="Wingdings" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings">J</span></font><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> )<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Scott<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[ABN-AMRO] A Breathrough in Synthetic Credit Investments.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Conditions et tarifs - Produits et services pour les particuliers.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] European Volatility Tracker - Feb 2006.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Guide to Structured Products.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Inflation Linked Bond Markets - 2009 Real Rate &amp; Curve Modeling.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Produits Derives - Change, Taux et Actions.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] US Index Option Strategies.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Understanding Credit Derivatives Vol. 1 - Market Overview.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Understanding Credit Derivatives Vol. 2 - CDS Basics.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Understanding Credit Derivatives Vol. 4 - CDS Pricing.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Understanding Credit Derivatives Vol. 5 - First-to-Default Baskets.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[BNP Paribas] Volatility Investing Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] An Introduction to Agency MBS Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Credit Strategy - Monolines - A Potential CDS Settlement Disaster.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Fixed-Rate IO Mortgages.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Guide to Credit Default Swaptions.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Hybrid ARM MBS - Valuation and Risk Measures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Introduction to Agency CMO Structures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Introduction to Cross Currency Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Outlook for the RMBS Market in 2007.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Prepayments on Agency Hybrid ARM MBS.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Pricing Mortgage-back Securities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Residential Mortgages - Prepayments and Prepayment Modeling.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] The Agency ARM MBS Sector.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Trust IO-PO Market.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">America</st1:place></st1:country-region>] Understanding Mortgage Dollar Rolls.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Canada</st1:place></st1:country-region>, Bolder] Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bank of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Canada</st1:place></st1:country-region>, Ron] A Practical Guide to Swap Curve Construction.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barclays] Convertible Bonds - A Technical Introduction.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barclays] Correlation Modelling - From Vanilla to Exotic.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barclays] Forward Starting Equity.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barclays] Global Inflation-Linked Products - A User's Guide.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barclays] Inflation Derivatives - A User's Guide.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barclays] The Barclays Capital Guide to Cash Flow Collaterialized Debt Obligations .pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barra] Global Equity - Risk Model Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Barra] Single Country Equity - Risk Model Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] Across the Curve in Rates and Structured Products and Across the Grade in Credit Products Outlook 2007.p<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] Bear Stearns Quick Guide to Non-Agency Mortgage-Back Securities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] Introduction to Asset-Backed CDS.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] RMBS Residuals - A Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] The Outlook for Fixed Income 2007.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] Understanding CMO Toggle Floaters.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bear Stearns] Variance Swaps - An Introduction.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bloomberg Magazine, Berger] Modeling Future Interest Rates - Taming the Unknownable.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bloomberg Magazine, Carr] The Value of Volatiliity.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Bond Market Association] An Analysis and Description of Pricing and Information Sources in the Securitized and Structu<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Booz Allen Hamilton] The M&amp;A Collar Handbook - How to Manage Equity Risk.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Borovkova] Analysis and Modelling of Electricity Futures Prices.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Bowling Green</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">State</st1:PlaceType> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">University</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, Bae] Managing Global Financial Risk Using Currency Futures and Currency Options.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[CARR Futures, Burghardt] The Convexity Bias in Eurodollar Futures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[CBOT] CBOT Electricity Futures and Options Reference and Applications Guide.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[CFA Institute] Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS) - Corrections.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[CFA Institute] Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS).pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[CME] Interest Rate Products - Advanced Topics.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Carr Futures, Panos] Trading the Unemployment Report.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] A General Review of CDO Valuation Methods.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] CPDOs - The New Best Seller.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Convertible Bonds - A Guide.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Correlation Trading Strategies.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Guide to Mortgage-Back Securities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Index-Linked Investment Products.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Interest Rates Workbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Introducing the Experimental Prepayment Model.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Asset Backed Finance.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Basic Corporate Finance.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Basic Treasury.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Basics of Trade Services and Trade Finance.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Debt Financing.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Equity Financing.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Futures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Interest Rates.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Latin America Training and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Development</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Center</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> - Introduction to Risk Management.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Total Rate of Return Indexes - April 2005 Performance.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Using Asset Swap Spreads to Identify Goverment Bond Relative-Value.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Citibank] Valuing Fixed-Rate IO Mortgages.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Columbia</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">University</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, Derman] Trading Volatility as an Asset Class.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Columbia</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">University</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, Zhao] Bayesian Adaptive Portfolio Optimization.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Convertible Bonds, Berger] Valuing Options on Dividend-Paying Stocks.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Cotton] Stochastic Volatility Corrections for Interest Rate Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Courant Institute, Friz] Valuation of Volatility Derivatives as an Inverse Problem.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] CFBS's Starter Kit for Non-Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] Credit Portfolio Modeling Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] Credit Suisse's Guide to Global Fixed Income Indices.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] Fixed-Rate Alt-A MBS - Commonly Asked Questions Answered.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] Institutional Considerations - The next move on the MBS 'chessboard'.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] Institutional Considerations in the MBS Markets.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Credit Suisse] Option Market Feedback - What can the option markets tell investors and modelers.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Damodaran On-line, Damodaran] Applied Corporate Finance, 2nd Ed.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[DerivativeFitch] Considerations for Rating Commodities-Linked Credit Obligations.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[DerivativeFitch] First Generation CPDO - Case Study on Performance and Ratings.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Derivatives Consulting Group] Introduction to Equity Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Derivatives Strategy, Leib] The Art of Option Writing - August 2000.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Derivatives Week] Variance Swap Volatility and Option Strategies.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] Asset Valuation &amp; Allocation Models.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] Credit Derivatives - Issues &amp; Trends.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] Credit Derivatives and Structured Credit.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] Depositary Receipts Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] FAS 133 Amendments.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] High-Yield Credit Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] Modeling Variance Swap Curves - Theory and Application.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] Quantitative Credit Strategy - Aug, 25 2006.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Bank] The Arbitrage CDO Market.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Deutsche Borse Group] Guide to the Volatility Indices of Deutsche Borse.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Diko] Risk Premia in Electricity Forward Prices.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein] Structured Products Vicious Circle - How Structured Products Exaggerate Long-Dated Imp<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Dresdner Kleinwort] A New Approach For Modeling and Pricing Correlation Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Economic Modeling, Johansen] Modelling of Cointegration in the Vector Autoregressive Model.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Eurex] Interest Rate Derivatives - Fixed Income Trading Strategies.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Eurex] Volatility and its Measurements - The Design of a Volatility Index and the Execution of its Historical Time Ser<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[FEA] Valuing Generation Assets and Tolling Agreements using the Power Sector Model.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[FOW, Smith] Adding a Floor to Equity Cliquets.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Federal Reserve Bank of Clevland, Haubrich] Swaps and the Swaps Yield Curve.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Federal Reserve Bank of <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State>, Fleming] Repurchase Agreements with Negative Interest Rates.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Federal Reserve Bank of <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State>, Kambhu] Trading Risk and Volatility in Interest Rate Swap Spreads.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Federal Reserve Bank of San Fransico, <st1:place w:st="on">Poole</st1:place>] Using T-Bill Futures to Gauge Interest-Rate Expectations.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[FitchRatings] <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">UK</st1:place></st1:country-region> Non-Conforming RMBS - Catching a Cold.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Frankfurt MathFinance Institute, Kuhn] Israeli Options as Composite Exotic Options.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Global Derivatives 2005, Dupire] Exploring Volatility Derivatives - New Advances in Modelling.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Goldman Sachs, Black] Fixed Income Research - Global Asset Allocation with Equities, Bonds, and Currencies.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Goldman Sachs] A Mortgage Product Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Goldman Sachs] Alt-A Market - An Introduction.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Goldman Sachs] Fixed Income Research - The Investment Implications of an Inverted Yield Curve.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Goldman Sachs] How to Value and Hedge Options on Foreign Indexes.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Goldman Sachs] Speculators, Index Investors, and Commodity Prices.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[HSBC] European Meltdown - Europe Fiddles as <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Rome</st1:place></st1:City> Burns.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[HVB Group] Credit Derivatives Accounting.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[HVB Group] DJ ITRAXX - Credit at its Best.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[HVB Group] Trading the DAX in CDS Format and Playing Equity versus Debt.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Harvard</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Business</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">School</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, Donahue] Note On Commodity Futures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Harvard</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Business</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">School</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>] Note on Commodity Futures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[IMF Staff Papers, Sarno] Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[ISDA, Altman] Analyzing and Explaining Default Recovery Rates.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[ISDA] 2002 ISDA Equity Derivatives Definitions.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[ISDA] EMU and Market Conventions - Recent Developments.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[ITO33, Henrotte] Variance Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Imperial</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">College</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, Albanese] Pricing Equity Default Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Investopedia] Advanced Bond Concepts.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Islamic Development Bank] Understanding Islamic Finance - A Study of the Securities Market in an Islamic Framework.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan, Matytsin] Modelling Volatility and Volatility Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan, Sim] Agency Hybrid ARM Prepayment Model.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] A Framework for Valuing Financial Hybrids.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Abritrage Pricing of Equity Correlation Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] All You Ever Wanted to Know About Corporate Hybrids But Were Afraid to Ask.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] An Introduction to CFXOs (Foreign Exchange L inked Credit Obligations).pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] CDO Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Corporate Quantitative Weekly.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Correlation Vechicles - Techniques for Trading Equity Correlation.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Credit Correlation - A Guide.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Depositary Receipts Reference Guide.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Exploring the TUI Hybrid.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Fixed Income Correlation Trading using Swaptions.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Fundamental Relationship Between an Index's Volatility and the Correlation and Average Volaility of its Com<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Hybrid Capital - Moody's Proposes a New Methodology for Hybrids - A non-event for most hybrids and $ Tier I<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Hybrid Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Institutional Hedging Activity.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Introducing the JPMorgan Cross Sectional Volatility Model &amp; Report.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Just What You Need to Know About Variance Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] MBS Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Now You See It, Now You Don't - What Happened to US Heating Oil Stocks and Why It Doesn't Matter.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Oil &amp; Gas Basics.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Par Credit Default Swap Spread Approximation from Default Probabilities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Relative Value Single Stock Volatility.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] RiskMetrics - Technical Document.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] The JP Morgan Guide to Credit Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] The JP Morgan Prepayment Model - It's All About Economics.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] The Price of Credit.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[JP Morgan] Volatility, Leverage, and Returns.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Black] How to Use the Holes in Black-Scholes.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Derivatives, Broadie] Pricing and Hedging Volatility Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Discrete Algorithms, Gerbessiotis] An Architecture Independent Study of Parallel Segment Trees.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Econometrics, Phillips] Understanding Spurious Regressions in Econometics.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Financial Economics, Geske] The Valuation of Compound Options.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Financial Economics, Lettau] Expected Returns and Expected Dividend Growth.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of International Money and Finance, Zivot] Cointegration and forward and spot exchange rate regressions.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Journal of Portfolio Management, Neuberger] The Log Contract - A New Instrument to Hedge Volatility.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Harmstone] Investing in Implied Volatility.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Johnston] Callable Securities - An Introduction.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Kerkhof] Inflation Derivatives Explained - Markets, Products, and Pricing.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Modukuri] Mortgage Convexity Risk.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, O'Kane] Credit Spreads Explained.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, O'Kane] Introduction to Default Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Pedersen] Explaining the Lehman Brothers Option Adjusted Spread of a Corporate Bond.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Reddy] An Introduction to Floating Rate CMOs.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Tuckman] Interest Rate Parity, Money Market Baisis Swaps, and Cross-Currency Basis Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Vankudre] Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities - Opportunities and Risks.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers, Zhou] The Swap Curve.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] ABS Outlook 2007 - The Path of Divergence.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] An Introduction to the Non-Agency CMO market.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Base Correlation Explained.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] CMBS Outlook 2007 - At Both Ends of the Risk-Reward Spectrum.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Changes to TBA Deliverable.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Credit Derivatives Explained - Market, Products, and Regulations.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Credit Derivatives Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Currency Hedging in Fixed Income Portfolios.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Defining the TBA Deliverable.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Equity-Linked Notes - An Introduction.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Estimating Implied Default Probabilities from Credit Bond Prices.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Guide to Agency and Government-Related Securities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Guide to Exotic Credit Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Hybrid ARM Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Hybrid ARMS - Unlocking Value in the New Index.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Interest Rate Futures.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Interest Rate Parity, Money Market Basis Swaps, and Cross-Currency Basis Swaps.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Introduction to Catastrophe-Linked Securities.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Modelling Credit - Theory and Practice.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Mortgage Options - A Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Mortgage Outlook for 2007 - Bracing for a Credit Downturn.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Non-Agency Hybrids - A Primer.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Optionalising Carry Trades.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Quantitative Credit Research Quarterly - Quarter 1 2007.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Securitized Products Outlook 2007 - Bracing for a Credit Downturn.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Securitized Products Outlook for 2007 - Bracing for a Credit Downturn (Presentation).pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] Structured Credit Strategy - Annual 2004.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] The Hybrid ARM Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] The Restructuring Clause in Credit Default Swap Contracts.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] The Shape of Implied Loss Distributions.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Lehman Brothers] The Specified Pool Handbook.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Moody's] Default and Recovery Rates of Corporate Bond Issuers, 1920-2004.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Nordic Risk Summer 2008, Soklakov] Information Derivatives.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Penn</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">State</st1:PlaceType> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">University</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, Shapiro] Soft Computing and Financial Engineering.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Technische Universitat <st1:place w:st="on">Chemnitz</st1:place>, Kluge] Pricing Derivatives in Stochastic Volatility Models using the Finite Differenc<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Technische Universiteit <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Eindhoven</st1:place></st1:City>, Kreuk] Trading the Difference Between Realised and Implied Volatility.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[The Journal of Derivatives, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Hull</st1:place></st1:City>] Efficent Procedures for Valuing European and American Path-Dependent Options.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[The Journal of Derivatives, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Hull</st1:place></st1:City>] Numerical Procedures for Implementing Term Structure Models I - Single-Factor Models<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[The Journal of Derivatives, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Hull</st1:place></st1:City>] Numerical Procedures for Implementing Term Structure Models II - Two-Factor Models.p<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[The Review of Economics and Statistics, Enders] Arima and Cointegration Tests of PPP under Fixed and Flexible Exchange<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Universidad de Montevideo, Ruibal] Forecasting the Mean and the Variance of Electricity Prices in Deregulated Markets.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Arial" size="2"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">[Universitat <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Berlin</st1:place></st1:State>, Buhler] Volatility Markets - Consistent Modeling, Hedging, and Practical Implementation.pdf<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>FT: News alerts drive new trading system</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/2009/01/ft-news-alerts-drive-new-trading-system.html" />
    <id>tag:www.skuberski.com,2009:/finance//1.70</id>

    <published>2009-01-16T13:54:55Z</published>
    <updated>2009-02-16T13:59:43Z</updated>

    <summary> Original: http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/670ce352-e33e-11dd-a5cf-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fmarkets%2Fequities PDF: 26-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Scott O. Kuberski</name>
        <uri>http://www.skuberski.com/finance</uri>
    </author>
    
        <category term="Automated Trading" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
        <category term="Trading" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/">
        <![CDATA[<p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">Original: <a href="http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/670ce352-e33e-11dd-a5cf-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fmarkets%2Fequities">http://traxfer.ft.com/cms/s/0/670ce352-e33e-11dd-a5cf-0000779fd2ac.html?o=%2Frss%2Fmarkets%2Fequities</a></span></p>
<p>
<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file" style="DISPLAY: inline">PDF: <a href="http://www.skuberski.com/finance/26-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf">26-000000007B8DA810D0018345B6589F0403C9DB810700ED4714.pdf</a></span></p></p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

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